According to reporting from the NY Post this week, the Zeldin campaign presented an internal poll done by John McLaughlin & Associates with 800 likely voters. Zeldin has a lead of 45.5 percent compared to Hochul’s 44 percent, according to the poll, while 10.5 percent are not yet decided.
The poll results are within the error margin and they’re an internal survey. There are some encouraging signs beyond the fact that a GOP candidate in New York has the lead.
According to Campanile:
“The election’s outcome will be determined in part by voter turnout — and where it originates in the state. New York has a greater number of independents than Republicans, with Democrats outnumbering them 2 to 1. Public opinion polls frequently oversample voters from New York City while under-sampling Republican respondents, according to McLaughlin. His poll currently predicts that 34% of the statewide vote will come from New York City.”
There is also how Biden could bring down a DNC ticket, even in New York:
“However, now that Joe Biden is president, in command during the worst inflation we have seen in five decades, and crime rates exploding in urban areas. Biden’s issues might boost turnout for the GOP this fall and lower Democratic turnout. Even in blue NY with just a 43 percent approval along with a 55 percent disapproval, Biden was underwater at 45 percent.” The poll found that 51% of respondents preferred a GOP candidate to act as a balance to the Democrat-controlled Legislature. Hochul had a 44% approval and a 48% disapproval rate. According to the poll, half of respondents want a Republican to serve as an opposition against the Dem-controlled legislature.
Biden is suffering a blow in New York, according to this poll. According to numbers from Civiqs last changed on March 18, Joe Biden has a 44 percent approval and 46 percent of respondents are against him. Last month’s Siena poll, as I also stressed in a recent VIP article, found that Biden’s approval rating was 48-48%, but his job performance rating was extremely negative at 36-63%.
According to a McLaughlin poll, crime was the most important concern for responders, with one in five naming it as such. Seventeen percent mentioned taxes. “Those are excellent issues for the GOP to focus on now that Democrats have increased taxes and passed the very popular no-cash bail legislation,” Campile said.